How Two-Sided Platforms Solve the Chicken-and-Egg Problem

Khanh Nguyen
Khanh Nguyen
(Updated: )
Listen to this article0 / 0
A hen and eggs on the scales. Photo: AI/BytePith.

A ride-hailing app with no drivers has nothing to offer, and no driver will sign up for an app with no riders. Airbnb, Uber, and Etsy all launched straight into that deadlock, and a Harvard Business School case study on how each company found its first thousand customers found they escaped it with the same underlying sequence: get one side of the market working well before the other side ever sees it.

Why Neither Side Will Join an Empty Platform

Researchers who study platform launches call this the chicken-and-egg problem: buyers stay away because there are no sellers, and sellers stay away because there are no buyers, so a brand-new marketplace can sit at zero indefinitely. A multi-case study of sixteen startup platform launches traces the standard framing back to earlier platform-economics research and groups the available fixes into three families: get one side on board first and use it to pull in the second, push both sides at once, or require one side to commit resources up front before the platform exists in any usable form. A separate HBS research note on platform pricing adds a fourth option, importing an already-assembled audience from an outside network rather than building either side from scratch, and finds that doing so changes how much a platform needs to subsidize early users without changing whether it needs to subsidize them at all.

Of these, the case most often pointed to by name is the "one side first" approach, because it's the one behind three of the best-documented consumer platform launches of the last two decades.

The Single-Player Sequence Airbnb, Uber, and Etsy Each Used

According to the HBS case research, all three companies chose to recruit their supply side first and treated the demand side as a problem to solve only once supply was in reasonably good shape. Airbnb's founders extracted contact details from Craigslist apartment listings and pitched those owners on cross-posting to Airbnb, then hired professional photographers to shoot the listings because amateur photos couldn't compete with hotel marketing. Uber launched with professional black-car drivers rather than the peer-to-peer drivers of UberX, so that a rider's first trip would be reliably good enough to talk about. Etsy's early team went to craft fairs in person and recruited the strongest vendors at each one directly, on the theory that a vendor's existing buyers would follow them onto the new platform.

The common thread the case research draws out is sequencing, not the tactics themselves: fix the quality of one side privately, then let that quality do the work of attracting the other side through word of mouth rather than advertising.

The single-player launch sequenceA four-step flow diagram showing how Airbnb, Uber, and Etsy recruited supply first, held it to a quality bar, earned word-of-mouth demand, and let that demand pull in further supply, based on Harvard Business School case research.The Single-Player Launch SequenceHow Airbnb, Uber, and Etsy broke the chicken-and-egg loopRecruit a narrow, high-quality sliceof supply before advertising to demandHold every early supplier to a quality barthat beats the incumbent alternativeEarly demand-side users get a strongenough experience to return and refer othersReferred demand pulls inthe next wave of supplySource: HBS Working Knowledge case research on Airbnb, Etsy, and Uber (Teixeira, 2016)

When the Same Playbook Fails: BlackBerry's App Store

The sequence isn't a guarantee, and a widely cited counterexample is BlackBerry's attempt to build a developer ecosystem for BlackBerry 10. According to one strategy-consulting account of the episode, the company tried to recruit supply directly by paying developers a flat guarantee for building apps, rather than by first building the installed base of users that would have made the platform worth building for on its own merits. The account describes this as attracting developers chasing the payment rather than an audience, while developers with the strongest apps kept building for iOS and Android instead, where a real user base already existed. That reporting is a single secondary account rather than a company disclosure, so treat the specific mechanism as illustrative rather than confirmed in BlackBerry's own words.

Set next to the Airbnb, Uber, and Etsy cases, the difference is about what the subsidized side is being paid for. Airbnb, Uber, and Etsy each made the supply side more attractive to real customers first. BlackBerry's guarantee paid for the existence of an app, independent of whether any customer ever used it.

PlatformSide recruited firstCore tacticDocumented result
AirbnbHostsPoached Craigslist listings, then hired photographers to shoot themListing quality outcompeted Craigslist's photos and built a base for renters
UberDriversLaunched with professional black-car drivers before UberXConsistent early rides let word of mouth carry demand growth
EtsySellersRecruited top vendors directly at craft fairsSellers' existing buyers followed them onto the new marketplace
BlackBerry 10 app storeDevelopersPaid a flat guarantee per submitted appSmall installed base meant top developers stayed on iOS and Android

What the Sequence Doesn't Guarantee

All three success cases in the HBS research are large, well-funded consumer platforms operating in markets where a workable substitute, Craigslist, a taxi dispatcher, a craft fair, already existed for the founders to study and improve on. The case research describes what these companies did, not a controlled comparison against what would have happened had they sequenced things differently, so it shows a pattern rather than proof that recruiting supply first is always the right call. The piggybacking research from HBS's Digital, Data, and Design Institute makes a related point from a different angle: how much a platform ends up subsidizing either side depends on competitive pressure from rival platforms, not only on which side gets recruited first. A founder weighing which side to chase should treat the single-player sequence as a documented starting hypothesis, not a formula, and check it against how much an existing alternative already serves the side being asked to switch.

Comments (0)

Sort by:

No comments yet.

Be the first to share your perspective on this topic.