Inside Han Kuang 42: Taiwan Rehearses a China Blockade, Hidden Tanks and a Drone "Hellscape"

Marcus Vance
Marcus Vance
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Taiwanese soldier firing from an armored vehicle during the Han Kuang exercise. Photo: REUTERS/Ann Wang.

Taiwan closed its 10-day Han Kuang 42 war games this week having tested, for the first time, a joint navy-coast guard drill to break a Chinese blockade, alongside tank crews hiding in construction yards and a fast-scaling drone program modeled on Ukraine.

China's radio queries are building a "quasi-quarantine" picture

Chinese coast guard vessels queried roughly 200 merchant ships east of Taiwan over a recent month, and Taiwan's Coast Guard Administration recorded 55 Chinese government vessel sightings in June, an 83 percent jump from the 30 recorded in May and a 120 percent increase over the 25 recorded in June 2025. A Tamkang University researcher writing for the Jamestown Foundation calls the emerging pattern a "quasi-quarantine": Beijing does not need a single ship to change course for the operation to succeed, since the radio queries on the maritime distress channel build a traffic-intelligence archive of vessel identities, cargo and flag states that would have direct value in an actual blockade. Taiwan's coast guard, which folds into the navy in wartime, is expanding to answer that pressure, with a target of 141 new ships by the end of 2027 and new stealth-capable Anping-class corvettes carrying land-attack missiles. President Lai Ching-te has called for over $13 billion in coast guard and military spending that includes new "kamikaze" sea drones.

Chinese government vessel sightings near Taiwan's eastern approachesMonthly count of Chinese coast guard and government vessels recorded by Taiwan's Coast Guard Administration, rising 83 percent from May to June 2026.Chinese vessel sightings near TaiwanMonthly count, Taiwan Coast Guard AdministrationJune 202525May 202630June 202655Source: Taiwan Coast Guard Administration, via Jamestown Foundation

Han Kuang 42 rehearses the invasion Taiwan fears most

This year's drill integrated counter-blockade drills with the traditional invasion scenarios that Han Kuang has run for decades, plus urban resilience elements, and mobilized more than 5,000 reservists across the exercise period from August 5 to 14.

A Taiwanese soldier stands guard by a Clouded Leopard vehicle next to a covered M1A2T. Photo: Matthew Loh/Business Insider.

On its third day, four M1A2T Abrams tanks and six CM-32 Yunpao armored vehicles rolled onto the tarmac at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport, rehearsing a scenario built directly on Russia's failed 2022 attempt to seize Ukraine's Hostomel Airport as an airbridge. Five days later, on Kaohsiung's waterfront, the military deployed special-operations assault boats and a reconnaissance drone alongside a missile-capable Coast Guard vessel to simulate stopping an amphibious landing, with President Lai inspecting from the bridge of an attack missile boat. The exercise closed with two firsts on consecutive days: soldiers erected metal barricades and concrete obstacles on routes leading to a Taipei bridge expected to be a target in any assault on the capital, and the navy worked with coast guard vessels for the first time in an anti-blockade escort drill, with a minesweeper clearing a channel to guide a simulated merchant ship into an east-coast port.

Han Kuang 42 exercise calendar, August 5 to 14, 2026Timeline of four confirmed events during Taiwan's Han Kuang 42 war games, from the exercise's start to the first joint anti-blockade escort drill.Han Kuang 42 exercise calendar10-day war games, August 5 to 14, 2026Aug 5Han Kuang 42war games beginAug 7Abrams tanks guardTaoyuan AirportAug 8Navy and coast guardrepel-landing drillAug 12-13First joint navy-CGAanti-blockade escortSource: Taiwan Ministry of National Defense statements, via wire service reporting

A hidden armored reserve and a drone "hellscape"

Rather than massing tanks for open-field battle, Taiwan is dispersing them. In a Taoyuan construction yard, a platoon of M1A2T Abrams sat under tarps and debris while crews refueled the tanks' gas-turbine engines with civilian traffic passing a few feet away, only months after Taiwan received the last of 108 tanks from the United States in April. The logic is asymmetric rather than head-on: China fields roughly 6,000 tanks, including about 2,200 Type 96s and 500 Type 15 light tanks, plus more than 1,000 Type 5 amphibious assault vehicles, so going tank-for-tank against that mass is not the plan. The same asymmetric logic extends to the skies and the strait. Taiwan has stood up a Littoral Combat Command to integrate drones, mobile missiles and artillery into a coastal shield, aiming to locate and strike Chinese forces before they can reach shore, in a strategy US commanders call a "hellscape". Analysts tracking the rollout caution that doctrine, training and defenses against Chinese electronic warfare remain the open gaps behind the hardware buildout, a limitation this article's sourcing discloses rather than glosses over.

Taiwan's drone production and acquisition targetsThree headline figures behind Taiwan's drone buildup: first-quarter 2026 exports, the 2030 production target, and the military's acquisition goal.Taiwan's drone buildup, by the numbersMinistry of Economic Affairs and government targets, reported by The New York TimesDrone exports, Q1 2026$115MAlready above all of 20252030 production target100,000/moAbout half meant for exportDrone acquisition goal210,000+Aerial and sea-based unitsSource: Taiwan Ministry of Economic Affairs, via The New York Times

Record budgets try to keep pace with the buildout

None of this comes cheap, and the spending trend is the clearest measure of how seriously Taipei is treating the threat. SIPRI confirmed Taiwan's 2025 defense spending at $18.2 billion, up 14 percent in real terms, and Taiwan's FY2026 regular Ministry of National Defense budget hit a record NT$949.5 billion, about $30 billion. Lawmakers passed that alongside a separate special defense budget of NT$780 billion, about $24.8 billion, short of the NT$1.25 trillion the Lai government had sought but more than the opposition's initial counteroffer, pushing combined defense-related outlays above 3 percent of GDP for the first time. Cabinet is now weighing an even larger figure for next year: a semi-official outlet reported Taiwan plans to spend a record NT$1.1 trillion, about $34.1 billion, on its military in 2027, again above 3 percent of GDP, a figure the government has not yet formally enacted. Washington is pressing for more still; the head of US Indo-Pacific Command has tied a roughly $122 billion Pacific requirements request directly to the pace of China's own missile production, underscoring that Taipei's record budgets are being measured against a moving target, not a fixed one.

Taiwan's defense budget climbs toward a recordTaiwan's regular Ministry of National Defense budget in US dollars, 2022 through a reported 2027 plan that has not yet been enacted.Taiwan's defense budget climbs toward a recordRegular MND budget, US$ billions (2027 is a reported plan, not yet enacted)$0B$10B$20B$30B$17.0B2022$19.1B2024$18.2B2025$30.0B2026$34.1B2027**Reported plan, cabinet approval pending. Sources: Bloomberg, Taipei Times, CNA, SIPRI

Taken together, the four tracks point in the same direction: Taiwan is no longer treating gray-zone pressure, invasion drills, hidden armor and drone acquisition as separate problems with separate budgets. Han Kuang 42 was the first exercise to rehearse them as one deterrence system, and the 2027 budget request is the clearest signal that Taipei expects to keep paying for it.

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